Adaptive Universe Stock Screener

Multi-factor machine learning evaluation calibrated to the active macroeconomic regime.

Ticker Sector Price ML Conviction Signal 12M-1M Mom RSI(14) Efficiency Kelly Weight Trade Blueprint

Active Paper Trading Portfolio

Live position tracker with dynamic ATR trailing stops, profit targets, and automated regime rebalancing.

TOTAL EQUITY +0.00%
$0.00
Starting: $0.00
TOTAL UNREALIZED P&L
$0.00
0.00%
LIQUID CASH RESERVE
$0.00
0.0% Cash
ACTIVE POSITIONS
0 Assets
Realized: $0.00
πŸ›‘οΈ Trailing Stop Defense Stops Optimal
$0.00 Locked Profit Above Breakeven
Monotonic High-Watermark
⚑ Macro Exposure Stress & Beta
1.00Ξ² Systematic Beta vs SPY
Stress & Beta Hedging
🎯 Capital Alpha IRS Wash-Sale Guard
$0.00 Harvestable Tax Loss
Allocation & Kelly
DAILY P&L VS MAX LOSS
$0.00 / -$500 Max
ACCOUNT OPEN RISK (STOPS)
$0.00 (0.0% Eq)
RISK OPTIMAL
DAILY PROFIT TARGET & LOCK
$1,000 Target πŸ”“ Unlocked
PROGRESS: 0%
⚑ ALPACA BROKER GATEWAY
Synced: --:--:--
TOTAL EQUITY $0.00 +$0.00 (+0.0%) Today
SETTLED CASH $0.00 0.0% Cash
DAY TRADING BUYING POWER (4X) $0.00 Intraday 4x Leverage
OVERNIGHT BUYING POWER (2X) $0.00 Reg T 2x Margin
SECURITIES MARKET VALUE $0.00 Long / $0.00 Short Open Portfolio Assets
MARGIN & PDT INVARIANTS Maint: $0.00 | Mult: 4x 0 / 3 Day Trades
Loading Alpaca securities...
⚑ RAPID EXECUTION BRACKET OCO READY

Risk-First Fast Bracket Order Ticket

Sizing derived dynamically from defined dollar risk: Shares = Math.floor(Risk $ / |Entry - Stop|)
DESTINATION:
ACCOUNT:
$141.23
WATCHLIST:
RISK PRESETS:
SIZING & BRACKET TARGETS VALID 1:2.0 R:R
CALCULATED SHARES 42 Shares
CAPITAL REQUIRED $5,931.66
AVAILABLE BUYING POWER Loading BP...
TARGET 1 (2.0R, 50% EXIT) $148.29 (+$150.00)
TARGET 2 (4.0R RUNNER) $155.35 (+$300.00)

Active Portfolio Holdings

Monitored live with dynamic ratcheting trailing stops
Asset Account Shares Cost Basis Current Price Market Value Weight Unrealized P&L Trailing Stop Target 1 Target 2 Action
No open positions. Click "Deploy $100k Portfolio" to allocate capital based on current regime.
BLOTTER ACCT:
Order ID Account Time Ticker Side Type Qty Filled Limit Price Stop Price Status Action
No open working orders. Submit a bracket order to monitor live fills.
πŸ›‘οΈ CHANDELIER ATR TRAILING RATCHET STUDIO IRONCLAD DEFENSE

Automated Stop-Loss Chandelier & ATR Trailing Ratchet Studio

Chuck LeBeau chandelier exit volatility bands, monotonic high-watermark ratchets, capital preservation floors & runner protection
VOLATILITY MULTIPLIER:
PEAK LOOKBACK:
BREAKEVEN BUFFER:
SCOPE:
TOTAL PROTECTED PROFIT $0.00 Guaranteed Above Breakeven
TOTAL CAPITAL AT RISK $0.00 Max Loss to Stop Price
RATCHET ELIGIBLE ASSETS 0 Positions Pending Stop Elevation
AVG STOP DISTANCE 0.0% Weighted Volatility Buffer
PORTFOLIO DEFENSE GRADE IRONCLAD Risk Hedging Posture
MAX GIVEBACK RISK 0.0% Max Forfeited Peak Gain
Holding / Symbol Shares Cost Basis Current Price High Watermark 14D ATR Active Stop Recommended Stop Distance to Stop Protected Profit Capital at Risk Ratchet Status
No active positions found. Deploy portfolio to activate dynamic chandelier trailing stops.
Chandelier ATR Trailing Ratchet Studio ready. Select an ATR multiplier above to evaluate trailing exits and protect accumulated portfolio equity.
🎯 3-TRANCHE DIP-BUYING ORCHESTRATOR ($40,403) PAPER SANDBOX

Staged Capital Deployment & Multi-Account Compliance Router

Automated 3-stage capital deployment across NVDA, SMH & QQQ with AccountGuard T+1 GFV & IRA anti-short enforcement
AccountGuardβ„’ Active: Paper Simulation Active β€” Instant fill simulation, bypasses T+1 settled-cash delays.
WORKING CASH RESERVE $40,403.00 IIAXX Cash Sweep Ingested
DEPLOYED TRANCHE CAPITAL $0.00 (0 / 3) Target: NVDA / SMH / QQQ
T+1 SETTLED CASH AVAILABLE $40,403.00 Good Faith Violation Shield
BASELINE EQUITIES + CASH $96,031.93 7 Core Holdings ($55,628.93)

Dynamic Volatility-Adjusted Trailing Stop Profiles (NVDA 3Γ—ATR, SMH 9.0%, QQQ 6.5%, Blue-Chip Core 5.3%–10.5%)

Symbol Category Vol Stop Model Entry / Ref High-Water Peak Current Price 14d ATR Trail Band % Ratcheted Stop Buffer % Status
Loading volatility-adjusted stop matrix...

Portfolio Fill & Order Journal

Audited trade executions, R-multiple expectancy & strategy attribution
EXPECTANCY / TRADE $0.00
AVG REALIZED R-MULT 0.00R
WIN RATE (PROFIT FACTOR) 0.0% (0.00x)
TOP ALPHA STRATEGY β€”
Date Ticker Type Shares Price Realized P&L Strategy Notes
πŸ›‘οΈ MACRO SHOCK SIMULATOR ARMORED

Portfolio What-If Scenario Stress Tester

Simulate flash crashes, liquidity freezes, stagflation rotations, and melt-ups against active trailing stops
PROJECTED POST-SHOCK EQUITY $0.00 -$0.00 (-0.0%)
TRAILING STOP DEFENSES 0 Stops Triggered $0.00 Capital Saved
RESILIENCE RATING 100 / 100 ARMORED (A+)
LIQUID CASH AFTER DEFENSE $0.00 Preserved Purchasing Power
Select a market shock scenario above to simulate portfolio defense mechanisms and projected equity impact.
Asset Pre-Shock Price Simulated Price Shock % Pre-Shock Value Post-Shock Value P&L Impact Stop Defense / Milestone
No open positions to stress test. Deploy portfolio to simulate shock dynamics.
πŸ›‘οΈ MULTI-FACTOR BETA HEDGE & COLLAR BALANCED CORE

Dynamic Multi-Factor Beta Hedging & Tail-Risk Collar Engine

Systematic market risk neutralization, dynamic beta targeting (Δβ = Ξ²_p - Ξ²_target), inverse ETF sizing, and zero-cost options collar defense
BENCHMARK:
TARGET NET BETA:
COLLAR STRIKE:
REGIME ADAPTATION:
PORTFOLIO BETA (Ξ²_p) 1.00 Benchmark Covariance
SYSTEMATIC DOLLAR RISK $0.00 Market-Exposed Equity
TARGET NET BETA 0.50 Post-Hedge Beta
HEDGE NOTIONAL REQUIRED $0.00 Systematic Offset (Δβ)
-10% CRASH ALPHA SAVED $0.00 Buffered Downside
EST. ANNUAL HEDGE DRAG 0 bps Contango & Roll Cost
πŸ“‰ Direct Inverse ETF Hedge Tickets Liquid Systematic Neutralization
Type Ticker Leverage Price Shares Capital Req % Equity
No hedge required at current beta.
⚑ Zero-Cost Options Collar Defense 45-Day Benchmark Tail Protection
LONG PROTECTIVE PUT $0.00 0 Contracts
SHORT COVERED CALL $0.00 0 Contracts
Net Collar Outlay: $0.00 Floor Protection: -5.0%
Holding Sector Equity Weight Beta vs Benchmark Systematic Exposure ($) Portfolio Beta Contribution (%)
No open holdings found. Deploy portfolio to calculate beta decomposition.
Beta Hedging & Tail-Risk Collar Engine ready. Select benchmark and target beta to compute systematic market exposure and defensive options collar structures.
πŸ“Š ASSET & SECTOR ALLOCATION DIVERSIFIED

Portfolio Allocation & Capital-at-Risk Studio

Real-time asset distribution, sector concentration limits, and downside-to-stop accounting
TOTAL ASSETS $0.00 0 Positions
CAPITAL AT RISK (STOPS) $0.00 0.0% max loss
TARGET 1 HARVEST POTENTIAL $0.00 0.0% gain potential
PORTFOLIO RISK / REWARD -- Asymmetric
Sector Concentration & Exposure Max threshold: 35%
🧠 AI QUANT AUDITOR

Portfolio Health, Success Rating & Optimization Engine

Input your personal holdings to evaluate regime alignment, concentration risk, and get actionable improvement blueprints.
Ticker Symbol Shares Cost Basis ($/share) Estimated Value Action
βš–οΈ KELLY CRITERION SIZING OPTIMAL ALLOCATION

Dynamic Kelly Criterion Position Sizing & Covariance Allocation Engine

Continuous geometric growth optimization f* = (pΒ·b - q)/b with fractional scaling, macro regime volatility attenuation, and position caps
KELLY FRACTION SCALE:
MAX POSITION CAP:
REGIME ATTENUATION:
EXPECTED GROWTH RATE (g*) +0.0% / yr Compounded Geometric Drift
PORTFOLIO KELLY FRACTION 0.50x Target Variance Scaling
THEORETICAL DRAWDOWN BOUND 37.9% Max Asymptotic Tail Risk
REBALANCING DELTA 0 Positions $0.00 Capital Drift
OPTIMAL CASH BUFFER 5.0% ($5,000) Volatility Buffer Preserved
Holding Current Weight Win Rate (p) Payoff Ratio (b) Full Kelly (f*) Optimal Weight Target Capital Target Shares Sizing Delta Allocation Action
No open holdings found. Deploy portfolio to calculate dynamic Kelly sizing.
Kelly Criterion Position Sizing Engine ready. Select fractional scaling above to evaluate geometric growth rates and position rebalancing adjustments.
πŸ›οΈ TAX-LOSS HARVESTING & ALPHA OPTIMAL TAX POSITION

Automated Tax-Loss Harvesting & Wash-Sale Intelligence Engine

Continuous capital loss scanning, IRS Β§ 1091 30-day wash-sale protection, and correlated proxy replacement swap tickets
MIN LOSS THRESHOLD:
TAX BRACKET:
HARVESTABLE LOSSES $0.00 Unrealized Capital Losses
ESTIMATED TAX ALPHA +$0.00 Tax Savings Generated
TAX-ALPHA YIELD +0.0 bps Portfolio Return Boost
WASH-SALE LOCKOUTS 0 Active IRC Β§ 1091 Restricted
HARVEST CANDIDATES 0 Positions Eligible For Swap Ticket
Holding Shares Cost Basis Current Price Unrealized Loss Estimated Savings Term Wash Status Proxy Replacement Action
No tax harvest scan performed yet. Click "Scan Tax-Loss Opportunities".
Automated Tax-Loss Harvesting Engine standing by. Click "Scan Tax-Loss Opportunities" to evaluate holdings against IRS wash-sale rules and generate replacement tickets.

Walk-Forward Strategy Studio & Backtester

Strict out-of-sample event-driven simulation with realistic slippage, commission, and regime transition dynamics.

Comm (bps)
Slippage (bps)
TIER-1 HARVESTS 0
HARVESTED CASH $0.00
RATCHETS TRIGGERED 0
STOPS HIT 0
TOTAL RETURN
--%
$---,---
CAGR (ANNUALIZED)
--%
SPY: --%
SHARPE RATIO (Rf 4.5%)
-.--
Sortino: -.--
MAX DRAWDOWN
--%
Calmar: -.--
WIN RATE & PROFIT FACTOR
--%
Profit Factor: -.--

Portfolio Cumulative Equity Growth

Strategy Equity vs S&P 500 Buy & Hold Benchmark (Walk-Forward 2020 - 2026)
Strategy S&P 500 (SPY)
DATE: -- STRATEGY: -- BENCHMARK: -- ALPHA: -- DD: --

Portfolio Drawdown Profile (% Underwater)

Measures tail risk and capital preservation during market crashes (Synchronized)

Recent Institutional Execution Log

Audited trade fills with execution slippage and commissions
Date Ticker Action Shares Exec Price Realized PnL

Monte Carlo 1,000-Path Simulation & Risk Sizing

Evaluates probability of ruin, 95% Value-at-Risk (VaR), and optimal Fractional Kelly position sizing.

1,000-Path Monte Carlo Trajectory (1-Year Forward)

Institutional probability cone with P5-P95 confidence fan and VaR 95% threshold
P50 Median 50% Core (P25-P75) 90% Fan (P5-P95)
5th Percentile (Tail Risk) --%
50th Percentile (Median) --%
95th Percentile (Bull Case) --%

Institutional Sizing & Capital Protection

The mathematics of how hedge funds size trades without suffering Gambler's Ruin.

95% Value at Risk (VaR 1-Yr): --%
Expected Shortfall (CVaR 95%): --%
Probability of β‰₯20% Drawdown: --%

Dynamic Kelly Criterion Calculator

Theoretical Full Kelly: --%
Recommended Fractional Kelly (1/4 Kelly): --%

Quant Rule: Never trade at Full Kelly. In real markets with fat tails, Full Kelly guarantees an 87% chance of a 50% drawdown. Institutional quants universally use Quarter-Kelly (25%) with volatility targeting.

Predictive Machine Learning & Market Regime Matrix

Architecture of the adaptive multi-factor ensemble model and state transition engine.

Market State Probabilities

Evaluated continuously via Realized Volatility Z-Score, Trend Efficiency (ER), and Moving Average dispersion.

Regime Transition Strategy Matrix

Regime Target Allocation Primary Factor Risk Stance
BULL_MOMENTUM 95% Equity / 5% Cash 12M-1M Momentum, Efficiency Aggressive Alpha
SIDEWAYS_CHOP 80% Equity / 20% Cash Bollinger %B, RSI-14 Mean Reversion
ROTATION_VOLATILE 50% Equity / 50% Cash Low-Beta, Quality, Energy Defensive Rotation
CRISIS_BEAR 0-15% Equity / 85-100% Cash Capital Preservation / Hedge Maximum Defense

Dynamic Feature Importance & Weights

Online Purged Walk-Forward factor weights adapt as the market regime shifts.

12M-1M Momentum (Jegadeesh-Titman) Captures persistent medium-term price trends while stripping out 1M reversal
+0.32 Weight
Kaufman Efficiency Ratio (ER-20) Measures directional speed vs random noise to prevent false breakout whipsaws
+0.22 Weight
Normalized Volatility (NATR-14) Penalizes erratic stocks to preserve portfolio Sharpe ratio
-0.18 Weight
Bollinger %B / 20-Day Z-Score Identifies extreme standard deviation extensions for tactical mean reversion
-0.15 Weight
On-Balance Volume (OBV) Trend Slope Detects institutional accumulation or distribution before price breaks out
+0.12 Weight